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Pete’s Power Rankings: Can anyone challenge Djokovic at Wimbledon?

July 6, 2021
Novak Djokovic pumps his fist and yells.

Photo : AELTC/Simon Burty

Welcome to Pete’s Power Rankings, where we paint a picture of the ATP Tour by looking at recent results and ranking players based on their current form, rather than the ATP’s point system.

The power rankings will be updated weekly all the way up to the National Bank Open.

Are you not entertained?

While the results in the first week at Wimbledon may not have been overly surprising, there was plenty of exciting tennis played at the All-England Club, especially from some of the young stars of the ATP Tour.

That being said, a week into the Championships, the same question looms over the gentlemen’s singles draw at Wimbledon: is Novak Djokovic’s victory at the All-England Club inevitable?

Here are our mid-Wimbledon Power Rankings:

(Please note, rankings were made after Manic Monday but before Wednesday’s play and do not reflect quarter-final results)

*Asterisk denotes player is still active in the tournament.

PETE’S ATP TOUR POWER RANKINGS – Week of July 5, 2021

1. Novak DjokovicChange: –
2021 Record: 31-3 (3 Titles)Actual Rank: 1Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

Other than a hiccup in the opening set of his first-round match, Djokovic has looked like, well, Djokovic so far at Wimbledon. There has been little indication that he will be walking away from this tournament with anything less than the champions trophy.

2. Matteo BerrettiniChange: +1
2021 Record: 30-6 (2 Titles)Actual Rank: 9Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

The Queen’s champ has brought his great grass form with him to the All-England Club. Berrettini has only dropped one set in four matches, although his draw has been fairly generous. His quarter-final match will be his first against a seeded opponent at the Championships.

Still, with the way he has been playing, it is hard to imagine a seeded opponent would have fared much better than anyone else did.

3.Roger FedererChange: +4
2021 Record: 9-3Actual Rank: 8Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

After catching a break in round one, Federer has been getting stronger with every match, taking out some high-quality opposition in Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Sonego, both of whom had reached finals on grass earlier in June.

We all know how dangerous Federer can be in the second week of Wimbledon and he seems to be finding his groove at the right time.

4.Denis ShapovalovChange: +10
2021 Record: 21-13Actual Rank: 12Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

Like many of the top players, Shapovalov had a tough round one match, but has cruised since.

After surviving a tough five-setter with Philip Kohlschreiber, the Canadian has pummeled back-to-back top-tier opponents, beating both two-time champion Andy Murray, in the Canadian’s Centre Court debut no less, and 2019 semi-finalist Robert Bautista Agut in straight sets.

And Shapovalov DOMINATED both of those matches. He is as hot as anyone heading into the quarter-finals.

5.Félix Auger-AliassimeChange: +6
2021 Record: 24-13Actual Rank: 19Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

It may finally be time to put the “Auger-Aliassime can’t win big matches” rhetoric to bed.

The uber-talented young Canadian finally had his breakthrough this week at Wimbledon, reaching a maiden slam quarter-final after a dramatic win for the ages over Alexander Zverev.

For a minute, it looked like Auger-Aliassime was going to have a repeat of his Australian Open meltdown, when he blew a two-set lead to Aslan Karatsev in the fourth round, when he let the lead slip away to Zverev. But this time, the Canadian hung tough for a signature five-set win.

They may be slow steps, but the Montrealer keeps making forward progress.

6.Daniil MedvedevChange: -4
2021 Record: 29-8 (2 Titles)Actual Rank: 2Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R4

This tournament will be a tough pill to swallow for Medvedev, as he went to bed on Monday night a few games away from the quarter-finals and with his hopes of being number one in the world by this time next week still alive.

But the rain delay in his fourth-round match with Hubert Hurkacz broke his momentum and instead the Russian is packing his bags for a trip across the Atlantic.

Medvedev prefers the hard courts so he should be a very big threat over the summer after career-best performances at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, although with so many points to defend, he is likely stuck at number two until the calendar flips.

7. Andrey RublevChange: -2
2021 Record: 36-11 (1 Title)Actual Rank: 7Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R4

Rublev is starting to look like one of those players like Nikolay Davydenko or David Ferrer, always near the top of the rankings, contends at most events, can hang with the big guns, but just can’t quite get the hang of slams.

The Russian had reached the final of Halle in June, signalling he was ready to contend at Wimbledon, but he struggled in most of his matches, eventually going down to Marton Fucsovics in the fourth round.

It was a disappointment for a player still looking for a major breakthrough, but he is also still just 23.

8. Alexander ZverevChange: -4
2021 Record: 27-11 (2 Titles)Actual Rank: 6Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R4

Would someone please help Zverev with his second serve? The German hit 20 double faults in his fourth-round loss to Auger-Aliassime.

Full credit to the German, he matched his career-best performance at the All-England Club by reaching the last sixteen and he nearly pulled an epic comeback to reach the quarter-final, but when the spotlight is at its brightest, Zverev continues to shrink.

9.Hubert HurkaczChange: New to List
2021 Record: 19-11 (2 Titles)Actual Rank: 18Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

Hurkacz’s roller-coaster season continues, and right now he appears to be on the way up again.

The 24-year-old Pole came into Wimbledon having lost six straight matches, with only one win to his name since lifting the Miami Open trophy in April. But he flipped a switch at the All-England Club, reaching his first-ever slam quarter-final, not dropping a set before mounting his comeback win over Medvedev.

It seems Hurkacz plays better on the bigger stages late in tournaments.

10.Karen KhachanovChange: New to List
2021 Record: 20-14 Actual Rank: 29Last Week Result: Wimbledon – QF*

You could argue that Khachanov is playing with house money right now. Not many players get to reach the quarter-finals after being broken six times in the fifth set alone of a fourth-round match.

Fortunately, Khachanov broke Sebastian Korda’s serve seven times and was able to advance to his second major quarter-final. The grass is good for his big-hitting game and he can blow almost anyone off the court.

11.Stefanos TsitsipasChange: -1
2021 Record: 39-10 (2 Titles)Actual Rank: 4Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R1

With the extra two weeks of rest under his belt, the Greek should be able to return to his spring form when the tour shifts to the hard courts where he is more comfortable and first made a name for himself in the summer of 2018.

12.Marin CilicChange: -6
2021 Record: 19-12 (1 Title)Actual Rank: 37Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R3

Cilic turned back the clock for a couple of sets at Wimbledon, taking a two-sets-to-love lead over Medvedev in their third-round clash. It should not have been a surprise given what a good grass season Cilic had in the lead up to the Championships.

However, he went on to lose that match. Now the question is can he keep the good form going on the hard courts. He does like the surface, but he is also 32 years old.

13.Roberto Bautista AgutChange: Return to List
2021 Record: 23-16Actual Rank: 10Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R4

After a fairly quiet few months, Bautista Agut looked solid at Wimbledon, showing off that consistency that has seen him be a mainstay near the top of the rankings for several years now.

He is a reliable bet to win a few matches at every event, although he can still fall victim to an in-form opponent, as was the case when he got bulldozed by Shapovalov in the last sixteen.

14.Diego SchwartzmanChange: -2
2021 Record: 18-12 (1 Title)Actual Rank: 11Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R3

Speaking of fairly quiet performances, Diego Schwartzman acquitted himself quite well considering grass is far from being his surface. The Argentine did well to reach the third round before ultimately falling to eventual quarter-finalist Fucsovics.

Schwartzman should take some confidence from this run heading into the hard courts, where he should be a bit more comfortable.

15.Sebastian KordaChange: New to List
2021 Record: 21-10 (1 Title)Actual Rank: 50Last Week Result: Wimbledon – R4

If he was not already on your radar, Korda should be now after his impressive run to the fourth round of Wimbledon.

The 21-year-old started his tournament by upsetting one of the best players on grass this year, Alex de Minaur, in the first round and then beat British number one Dan Evans in round three before ultimately being bested in an epic by Khachanov in round four.

Expect more runs like this in the future from the American.

Off the List

  • Alex de Minaur (Lost in Wimbledon R1)
  • Jannik Sinner (Lost in Wimbledon R1)
  • Pablo Carreno Busta (Lost in Wimbledon R1)
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