ATP Power Rankings: 2023 Breakout Stars Coming…

Skip to main content directly

The 2023 National Bank Open in Toronto was full of career-best results for players who have since established themselves among the very best on the ATP Tour.

Now, they have to back up their results from a year ago. The National Bank Open power rankings size up the field for next week in Montreal.

(Brackets indicate change in position since the last edition of the Power Rankings from before Wimbledon)

*Note: Inclusion in the Power Rankings does not guarantee player participation at the National Bank Open. The player list remains subject to change.

1. Jannik Sinner (-1)

Actual Ranking: 1
2024 Record: 24-4
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon quarter-final
Best National Bank Open Result: Champion 2023

Sinner returns to the tournament where he kicked his career into high gear a year ago, albeit in a different city, as he faces a new challenge: defending all the points he has racked up over the last 12 months. It begins with 1000 points in Canada as he looks to defend his first Masters 1000 title.

Despite being the world No. 1 and defending champion, there are some questions around the Italian as illness hampered him at Wimbledon and kept him out of the Olympics. But there is no question that if he is healthy, he will be very difficult to beat on the summer hard courts, starting in Montreal.

- Pete

2. Daniil Medvedev (+4)

Actual Ranking: 5
2024 Record: 33-10
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon semifinal
Best National Bank Open Result: Champion (2021)

If any player in the field should be particularly excited to kick off their North American hard-court swing, it’s world No. 5 Medvedev.

The Octopus produces his best tennis during this stretch of the calendar year – in 2021 he captured the NBO in Toronto before winning the US Open weeks later, his first and to-date only major.

Remarkably, the 28-year-old, a 20-time ATP titlist, has never won the same event twice. He’ll make a bid to snap that streak in Montreal.

- Ben

3. Alexander Zverev (-2)

Actual Ranking: 4
2024 Record: 44-13
Notable Recent Results: Hamburg runner-up
Best National Bank Open Result: Champion (2017)

Zverev is expected to be one of four former champions in the draw in Montreal next week, although it will have been the longest for him since his title, which came back in 2017. That victory remains the German’s biggest hard-court title to date.

Read also: Meet the ATP Top 10

It has been a good bounce-back year for Zverev and he seems to be fully recovered from a terrible ankle injury suffered in 2022. He has reached the quarter-finals or better at every big hard-court event so far in 2024.

- Pete

4. Taylor Fritz (New)

Actual Ranking: 12
2024 Record: 35-13
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon quarter-final
Best National Bank Open Result:

The current battle for top-ranked American has proven to be a dogfight on the ATP circuit. Just one spot in the rankings separates Taylor Fritz, Tommy Paul, and Ben Shelton.

It is Fritz, however, who’s ultimately achieved the most in his career.

The hard-serving right-hander has notched two of his eight career ATP titles this season as he looks to push back towards the Top 10. He’s yet to get past the third round at the National Bank Open, a stat that one expects could change next week.

- Ben

5. Tommy Paul (-1)

Actual Ranking: 13
2024 Record: 31-11
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon quarter-final
Best National Bank Open Result: SF (2023)

Paul is in the midst of a career year where he has already doubled his number of career finals (three in 2024 of six overall) and won multiple titles for the first time. He also has a pair of 1000 semis, one on hard court in Indian Wells and one on clay in Rome, to go with a recent quarter-final at Wimbledon.

A year ago in Toronto, Paul reached his first 1000-level semifinal, notching his second win in Canada over Carlos Alcaraz in the process. The American’s aggressive game has worked well here in the past, having reached the last eight in back-to-back years.

- Pete

6. Andrey Rublev (-)

Actual Ranking: 8
2024 Record: 26-14
Notable Recent Results: Umag semifinal
Best National Bank Open Result: R3 2021

Perhaps no player blows hotter and colder right now more than Andrey Rublev. He has been a mainstay in the Top 10 for the better part of the last four years and has two Masters 1000 titles to his name, including earlier this year in Madrid.

On the flip side, he also has cold spells including a stretch of this season where he lost five of six matches. There is no doubt that Rublev is a great competitor, he just needs to keep his head on straight and not let his fighting spirit overwhelm him.

- Pete

7. Hubert Hurkacz (-5)

Actual Ranking: 7
2024 Record: 34-14
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon R2
Best National Bank Open Result: Runner-up (2022)

Hurkacz has shown he can battle with the best in Canada. In his last three visits to the Great White North, he reached the 2022 final in Montreal and his 2021 and 2023 losses in Toronto were third-set tiebreak defeats to the eventual champion Daniil Medvedev and to the top seed Carlos Alcaraz.

The thing is, Hurkacz suffered a nasty-looking knee injury in the second round of Wimbledon and has not played since. If he does play in Montreal, health and rust will be a concern.

- Pete

8. Grigor Dimitrov (-)

Actual Ranking: 10
2024 Record: 32-11
Notable Recent Results: Wimbledon R4
Best National Bank Open Result: SF (2014)

The 2024 Dimitrovaissance returns to the hard courts where the veteran Bulgarian played so well at the first two Masters 1000 events of the year. The former world No. 3 reached the round of 16 in Indian Wells and the final in Miami.

Read also: So long, Andy Murray!

While Dimitrov's best results in Canada have come in Toronto, he arrived in Montreal early and should be well prepared to bring his best to IGA Stadium.

9. Casper Ruud (New)

Actual Ranking: 9
2024 Record: 40-12
Notable Recent Results: Olympics QF
Best National Bank Open Result: SF (2022)

Ruud arrives in Montreal having just reached the quarter-finals of the Olympics on clay. While his best results have generally come on the dirt, he has played well in Canada in the past, including a semifinal run the last time the tour passed through Quebec.

10. Holger Rune (New)

Actual Ranking: 17
2024 Record: 27-15
Notable Recent Results: Hamburg QF
Best National Bank Open Result: R2 (Twice)

The highly-touted youngster has been consistently getting match wins at the big events of late, but has not made a deep run since the quarter-finals on Monte-Carlo. He will be hoping a return to the hard courts, where he reached the last eight in Indian Wells this year, provide a spark.

*Note: Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic were removed from the Power Rankings following their withdrawals.

The National Bank Open Power Rankings are a group collaboration by the Power Rankings Panel which includes:

Pete Borkowski – Content Editor, Tennis Canada
Melissa Boyd – Content Writer, Tennis Canada
Sarah-Jade Champagne – Content Specialist, Tennis Canada
Edward Lee – Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Ben Lewis – Host, Match Point Canada
Hugues Leger – Producer, Podcast Sur La Ligne
Mike McIntyre – Host, Match Point Canada
Abraham Santerre – Content Creator, Podcast Sur La Ligne
Patrick Steski - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada

The ATP's best return to Montreal this summer for the National Bank Open August 3 to 12, 2024 at IGA Stadium. 2024 Tickets are on sale. Get your tickets today!

Feature Photo : Peter Power