WTA Power Rankings: Can the Stars Bounce Back at…

The 2025 US Open is shaping up to potentially be the most open of the four majors on the women’s side this year.

Just look at the two 1000-level warm-up events. One was won by an established champion who has been on fire since June. The other was won by a teenager playing in just her seventh WTA main draw who had never even reached a tour-level quarter-final before.

Some of the biggest names in the sport, including the world No. 1 who in previous years dominated the hard courts, have been struggling this summer. It feels like anything could happen over the next few weeks in New York.

With that in mind, the National Bank Open Power Rankings do their best to size up the field at the 2025 US Open.

(Brackets indicate change in position since the last edition of the Power Rankings from before the National Bank Open.)

1. Iga Swiatek (+1)

Actual Ranking: 2
2025 Record: 29-12
Notable Recent Result: Cincinnati Champion
Best US Open Result: Champion (2022)

It’s hard to believe that just a couple of months ago, Swiatek was almost being written off after being defeated by Aryna Sabalenka in her best Grand Slam and falling out of the Top 5. But a Wimbledon title and a Cincinnati title later and the Pole is very much back.

Quite simply, Swiatek has been the best player in the world over the last two months and it has not been particularly close. The Pole has reached the final in three of four events since being dethroned at Roland-Garros, making her the only player on the WTA Tour to reach multiple finals, let alone win multiple titles, since June 16.

Swiatek has been a bit up-and-down in her career at the US Open but has reached at least the fourth round in four straight trips to New York.

- Pete

2. Aryna Sabalenka (New)

Actual Ranking: 1
2025 Record: 50-10
Notable Recent Result: Cincinnati quarter-final
Best US Open Result: Champion (2024)

There is sure to be extra motivation for Aryna Sabalenka heading into the 2025 US Open. Firstly, the world No. 1 has yet to win a Grand Slam this year, finishing as runner-up twice. Secondly, she’ll want to successfully defend her title at Flushing Meadows.

Sabalenka has played some of her best tennis on hard courts this year. The three-time major winner was the first player, both on the WTA and ATP Tours, to reach three titles this season, with two of them coming on the concrete in Miami and Brisbane.

And the 27-year-old always brings her best at hard court Slams, having reached three-straight finals at the Australian Open and now Sabalenka will look to do the same at the year’s final major.

- Francesco

3. Coco Gauff (-2)

Actual Ranking: 3
2025 Record: 35-12
Notable Recent Result: Cincinnati quarter-final
Best US Open Result: Champion (2023)

This year’s US Open is another chance for Coco Gauff to draw comparisons to the great Serena Williams. The 21-year-old is back where she won her first Grand Slam title at just 18 years old in 2023, becoming the first American teen to win the tournament since Williams in 1999.

Now, after winning at Roland-Garros in June, Gauff can become the first American player to win multiple Grand Slams in the same year since, of course, Williams in 2015.

Despite the American No. 1 not having her results go her way after a successful clay court season, the Atlantan can certainly find her form at her home Slam.

- Francesco

4. Elena Rybakina (+5)

Actual Ranking: 10
2025 Record: 41-16
Notable Recent Result: Montreal and Cincinnati SF
Best US Open Result: Third Round (Twice)

After Swiatek, Rybakina has been the most consistent player on tour over the last few weeks and seems to be back to playing some of her best tennis. She was the only player to reach the semifinals at both summer WTA 1000 events. No one else even reached the quarters of both.

Her run in Cincinnati was particularly impressive, as she scored wins over world No. 1 Sabalenka and Australian Open champion Madison Keys on her way to the final four. Rybakina should be full of confidence heading to the US Open where the fast courts suit her. This seems like the time for the Kazakhstani to finally break through in New York, the one major where she has never reached the quarter-finals.

- Pete

5. Madison Keys (+1)

Actual Ranking: 6
2025 Record: 37-12
Notable Recent Result: Montreal QF
Best US Open Result: Runner-Up (2017)

While she has not gotten back to the heights of lifting the trophy in Melbourne earlier this year, Keys has had a very consistent summer, getting at least two match wins in each of her last three events. Her best result came in Montreal where she got to the quarter-finals before being bested by Clara Tauson.

Prior to winning the Australian Open earlier this year, the US Open would have qualified as Keys’ best major, being the only one where she had reached at least three semifinals and one final. Still she just needs to reach the third round to make it the major where she has won the most matches.

- Pete

6. Mirra Andreeva (-2)

Actual Ranking: 5
2025 Record: 36-12
Notable Recent Result: Wimbledon QF
Best US Open Result: 2R (Twice)

Mirra Andreeva has cooled off a bit since her wildly impressive start to 2025 but, as that form suggests, she is more than capable of finding another gear on the hard court.

Andreeva won back-to-back WTA 1000 titles in Dubai and Indian Wells earlier in the year, then reached the quarter-final at Roland-Garros and Wimbledon. The 18-year-old doesn’t shy away from a major and is more than capable of going on a deep run in Flushing Meadows.

- Francesco

7. Jasmine Paolini (-)

Actual Ranking: 8
2025 Record: 24-9
Notable Recent Result: Cincinnati runner-up
Best US Open Result: 4R (2024)

Jasmine Paolini picked up her form at just the right time. The Italian came back from a set down to defeat Gauff en route to the final in Cincinnati where she lost in two tight sets to the in-form Swiatek.

The 29-year-old had an impressive run in Miami as well earlier this year, defeating Naomi Osaka and Magda Linette before falling short in the semifinal. There’s something about the hard courts in the eastern United States this year that can produce something special from Paolini.

- Francesco

8. Jessica Pegula (-5)

Actual Ranking: 4
2025 Record: 37-16
Notable Recent Result: Cincinnati 3R
Best US Open Result: F (2024)

Jessica Pegula will have a chip on her shoulder as she awaits her first big event title on home soil. The American No. 2 was a US Open runner-up last year in her maiden Grand Slam final and, in WTA 1000s, Pegula was a finalist in Miami in 2025 and in Cincinnati in 2024 – all those losses came to Sabalenka.

But, the Buffalonian has had plenty of success north of the American border, winning back-to-back titles at the National Bank Open in 2023 and 2024, and it’s only a matter of time when she hoists a big event trophy in the States.

- Francesco

9. Victoria Mboko (New)

Actual Ranking: 24
2025 Record: 53-9 (includes ITF) / 15-5 (WTA Tour-level Only)
Notable Recent Result: Montreal Champion
Best US Open Result: Debut

Mboko knows how to win tennis matches and it does not really matter what level she plays at. She finds ways to win. Across all levels of professional tennis, only Sabalenka has won more matches than the 18-year-old Canadian in 2025, with 54 to Mboko’s 53. And while most of Mboko’s wins came on the ITF Tour, where she won five titles in the early months because shifting focus to the WTA Tour, she of course comes to New York on a seven-match winning streak fresh of a WTA 1000 title in Montreal.

This will be Mboko’s US Open debut and will be seeded at a major the first time she gets in with direct entry. The teen has won at least one match in every WTA main draw she has played this year. If her Montreal run is any indication, don’t expect the pressure to get to the 18-year-old. After all, at the National Bank Open she became the youngest player in the 21st century, since the great Serena Williams in 1999, to beat four Grand Slam champions in the same tournament.

It’s worth noting that Mboko is one of a handful of players in the US Open draw who has won seven consecutive main-draw matches to win a title in her career. Normally that only happens at a Grand Slam, but with the extended format in Montreal and at some other WTA 1000 events, combined with the fact that the women don’t play longer matches at majors unlike the men who stretch to best-of-five, the young Canadian has already done exactly what she needs to do to win a Grand Slam title.

- Pete

10. Amanda Anisimova (-5)

Actual Ranking: 9
2025 Record: 33-15
Notable Recent Result: Montreal R4
Best US Open Result: Third Round (2020)

As mentioned above, Swiatek is the only player to reach multiple finals on the WTA Tour since June 16. Stretch that date back to since Roland-Garros and Anisimova joins that very short list, being the only other player on tour to reach at least two finals since the start of the grass season.

While she did not have as good as lead-up to the US Open as last year, Anisimova did a good job of putting her difficult loss in the Wimbledon final behind her, scoring some solid wins in Montreal over Lulu Sun and Emma Raducanu. Now she heads to her home major look for her first big performance in New York.

- Pete

The National Bank Open Power Rankings are a group collaboration by the Power Rankings Panel which includes:

Pete Borkowski – Manager of Editorial and Player Coverage, Tennis Canada
Melissa Boyd – Content Writer, Tennis Canada
Sarah-Jade Champagne – Content Specialist, Tennis Canada
Jonathan Chan - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Edward Lee – Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Hugues Leger – Producer, Podcast Sur La Ligne
Charlotte Robillard-Millette – Communications Coordinator, Tennis Canada
Abraham Santerre – Content Creator, Podcast Sur La Ligne
Patrick Steski - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Francesco Tosini - Content Writer, Tennis Canada
Ravi Ubha - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada

2025 US Open Predictions

Champion:

Pete: Victoria Mboko
Mel: Iga Swiatek
Sarah-Jade: Victoria Mboko
Jonathan: Aryna Sabalenka
Francesco: Aryna Sabalenka
Ravi: Iga Swiatek

Dark Horse:

Pete: Anna Kalinskaya
Mel: Clara Tauson
Sarah-Jade: Clara Tauson

Bold Prediction:

Pete: In March, I said the US Open final will be Mboko vs Andreeva sort-of joking. Since they are in line to meet in the fourth round, I'll say whichever of those two comes out of that section wins the title.
Mel: For the first time since Wimbledon 2024, a women’s Grand Slam final will not feature an American.
Sarah-Jade: The Canada champions repeat in New York, meaning Victoria Mboko claims her first Grand Slam title.
Jonathan: Victoria Mboko makes another run and reaches the quarter-finals.
Francesco: Victoria Mboko reaches the semifinals
Ravi: Naomi Osaka reaches her first Grand Slam quarter-final since 2021.

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