ATP Power Rankings: Sinner Seeking Redemption at…

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According to oddsmakers, Jannik Sinner was the second-biggest favourite in modern history at a men’s Grand Slam event at Roland-Garros. He was such a big favourite that he was the Power Rankings Panel’s unanimous No. 1 and we all picked him to win the title.

Hopefully we still have some credibility....

Well, surely we learned our lesson and did not make the same mistake twice?

The thing is, with Carlos Alcaraz still out, Novak Djokovic 39 years old, the Italian being the defending champion, and a general lack of players who are comfortable on grass these days, it is hard not to once again see Sinner as the overwhelming favourite.

At least we didn’t all pick him to win the title again (barely). Wimbledon is probably the toughest major to predict, but the Power Rankings panel gave it our best shot.

*Note: Results from the events the week of June 22 are excluded

(Brackets indicate change in position since the last edition of the Power Rankings from before Roland-Garros.)

1) Jannik Sinner (-)

Actual Ranking: 1
2026 Record: 37-3
Notable Recent Results: Roland-Garros Second Round
Best Wimbledon Result: Champion (2026)

The world No. 1’s shocking second-round loss at Roland-Garros was one of the biggest upsets in tennis history. Only Rafael Nadal at the 2009 French Open was a bigger favourite heading into an event (although interestingly, Nadal also failed to win that year).

So while it would be hard to look at Sinner as inevitable in the same way at Wimbledon after what happened in his last event, he arguably should be a bigger favourite at the All-England Club than he was at Roland-Garros. He has won this tournament before and there are far fewer players who are comfortable enough on grass to challenge him.

And generally, the weather in London should not cause him as many problems as it did in Paris. There is currently a massive heat wave across all of western Europe, but it is supposed to settle into reasonable temperatures in the low 20s (Celsius) for most of The Championships. If the sun cooperates, it is hard to see any human stopping the Italian.

- Pete

2) Alexander Zverev (-)

Actual Ranking: 3
2026 Record: 38-10
Notable Recent Result: ATP 500 Halle SF
Best Wimbledon Result: Fourth Round (Three times)

The man most likely to dethrone Sinner is, of course, Alexander Zverev. Through varying conditions and different surfaces, the German has undoubtedly been the most consistent on tour outside of ‘Sincaraz’, failing to reach the semifinals of an event just twice so far this year.

After his long-awaited first Grand Slam title at Roland-Garros, Zverev now must put that crowning moment in the rear-view and try to achieve another feat at Wimbledon. The Championships is the only major where the 29-year-old has yet to make the final, only finishing as far as the fourth round on three occasions.

All signs will point to a title match with Sinner, but a British heatwave may turn Zverev into the favourite once again. Then, it’s about avoiding Taylor Fritz. The American has beaten Zverev in their last seven meetings, including in the 2024 Wimbledon fourth round and Halle semis last week. However, like his skid against Italians on the dirt, the German has shown he can overcome his kryptonite if it means hoisting a major trophy.

- Francesco

3) Taylor Fritz (New)

Actual Ranking: 7
2026 Record: 19-12
Notable Recent Results: ATP 500 Halle and ATP 250 Stuttgart Runner-Up
Best Wimbledon Result: Semifinal (2026)

There are not many players on tour these days who play better on grass than on other surfaces, but Fritz may be one of the exceptions. The American No. 2 has reached seven finals on the surface, including in both events he has entered so far in 2026, and has five titles on grass to his name.

Fritz effectively took a pass on clay this year, playing just two matches (first-round losses in Geneva and Paris) but the rest seems to have paid off as he has been excellent so far since the latest surface switch. He has also reached the quarter-finals or better at Wimbledon in three of the last four years. In a draw full of question marks, Fritz is one of the few players who feels like a relatively safe bet.

- Pete

4) Ben Shelton (+4)

Actual Ranking: 5
2026 Record: 25-10
Notable Recent Result: ATP 250 Stuttgart Champion
Best Wimbledon Result: Quarter-Final (2025)

Shelton is turning into quite the grass-court specialist as of late, largely thanks to the boost his big serve gains on the lawn.

After reaching the Stuttgart semis in 2025, the American No. 1 returned this year and left with a title. The Atlantan needed nearly three hours to beat Jiri Lehecka in the semis, a match where all three sets went to tiebreakers, before defeating reigning champion Fritz in the final.

Now that Shelton is even more accustomed to the lawn, building off his quarter-final finish at 2025 Wimbledon is definitely not out of reach, considering he will enter as the No. 4 seed. The American’s last match at the All-England Club was a respectable outing against eventual champion Sinner in the quarters, but he won’t have to worry about that matchup again until at least the semis.

- Francesco

5) Novak Djokovic (-)

Actual Ranking: 8
2026 Record: 9-4
Notable Recent Results: Roland-Garros Third Round
Best Wimbledon Result: Champion (Seven times)

When Alcaraz pulled out and Sinner was upset at Roland-Garros, the narrative quickly became “is this Djokovic’s best shot at Grand Slam No. 25?”... and then he promptly lost to Joao Fonseca in round three. But there is a far more compelling argument that Wimbledon is Djokovic’s best chance to break his tie with Margaret Court for the most Grand Slam singles titles all-time.

Wimbledon is the major where Djokovic can best separate himself from the field. Obviously, he is comfortable on the surface while most of the tour isn’t, and grass-court tennis is less physical than the other two surfaces so his age should be less of a factor than it was at Roland-Garros.

The trickiest thing for Djokovic at the All-England Club could be his seeding, which slid to No. 7 after he failed to defend his semifinal points in Paris. While the lack of Alcaraz means there is a higher chance of him avoiding one of the scariest players, on the flip side he could end up having to play Sinner or Zverev as early as the quarter-finals.

- Pete

6) Félix Auger-Aliassime (7)

Actual Ranking: 4
2026 Record: 26-13
Notable Recent Results: ATP 500 Halle and ATP 250 Stuttgart Quarter-Final
Best Wimbledon Result: Quarter-Final (2021)

There was a time when it seemed like Auger-Aliassime would be a regular threat at Wimbledon. Early in his career, he reached a few Stuttgart finals on grass, once took out Roger Federer in Halle, and his maiden Grand Slam quarter-final came at the All-England Club. In fact, heading into Wimbledon in 2022, a National Bank Open writer ranked him as the third favourite for the title (ok, it was me. I said that), only for him to lose in the first round.

Ever since those early successes, the Canadian has struggled mightily at the All-England Club. He lost in the first round three times in a row after that quarter-final run and barely improved last year, just getting to the second round.

This year, Auger-Aliassime enters at his highest-ever seeding at a major, No. 3, having just reached the Roland-Garros quarter-finals for the first time. His big serve and forehand should make him a threat on grass, but it has not really been working lately. Still, his game is well-suited to grass if he can buckle down and hit the ball with confidence.

- Pete

7) Daniil Medvedev (-3)

Actual Ranking: 9
2026 Record: 28-11
Notable Recent Result: Halle QF
Best Wimbledon Result: Semifinal (Twice)

Medvedev has been put to the test this grass season. In ‘s-Hertogenbosch, the world No. 9 needed three sets to defeat Dutch wildcard Thijs Boogaard and former Wimbledon finalist Marin Cilic before running into Kamil Majchrzak on the Pole’s surprise title run.

During his next stop, Medvedev made it back-to-back quarters in Halle, highlighted by his win over world No. 30 Tomas Martin Etcheverry.

The former world No. 1’s ability to battle through these tests on the lawn will be what he needs to avoid another shocking first-round exit at Wimbledon. It was only two years ago when Medvedev defeated world No. 1 Sinner at the All-England Club so once he gets going, the 30-year-old becomes a serious threat on grass.

- Francesco

8) Frances Tiafoe (New)

Actual Ranking: 19
2026 Record: 29-12
Notable Recent Results: ATP 500 Halle Champion
Best Wimbledon Result: Fourth Round (2022)

Is this the year Frances Tiafoe breaks through at Wimbledon? The powerful American should be arriving at the All-England Club full of confidence after winning the biggest title of his career on the grass in Halle. He took down three Top 10 players on his way to that win, all three of whom can also be found on this list (Fritz, Auger-Aliassime, Flavio Cobolli)

Wimbledon is the lone major where Tiafoe has yet to reach the quarter-finals, but he should like his odds this year. Big Foe’s big-hitting game is extremely well-suited to grass as his raw power is accentuated by the slick surface. And even though he has yet to go deep at Wimbledon, he has delivered some impressive performances at the All-England Club before, pushing eventual champion Alcaraz to five sets back in 2024.

- Pete

9) Alex de Minaur (New)

Actual Ranking: 6
2026 Record: 24-13
Notable Recent Result: ‘s-Hertogenbosch Runner-up
Best Wimbledon Result: Quarter-final (2024)

The switch from clay to grass has already been a positive one for de Minaur. The Aussie made the finals in ‘s-Hertogenbosch and the quarters at the Queen’s Club as he sits as the world No. 6 once again, matching his career-high.

With his good form heading into Wimbledon, this will be de Minaur’s best chance to finally get past a Grand Slam quarter-final, having lost all seven of his previous appearances at that stage. If he were to do so, the 27-year-old will likely need a win against a Top 4 seed. Sinner has been the most troublesome, as the Demon has lost all 13 meetings with the world No. 1.

However, against the rest of the Top 4 seeds, de Minaur will back himself. Since 2024, the Aussie is 2-2 when facing Zverev, 2-1 against Auger-Aliassime, and has only had one encounter with Shelton (won by the American).

- Francesco

10) Flavio Cobolli (New)

Actual Ranking: 10
2026 Record: 23-14
Notable Recent Result: Roland-Garros Runner-up
Best Wimbledon Result: Quarter-final (2025)

Cobolli returns to Wimbledon just one year after making his Grand Slam breakthrough at the All-England Club. The Italian No. 2 was dominant in his round-three win over Jakub Mensik then beat Cilic in four to reach the quarters, where he battled against seven-time champion Djokovic.

This year, expectations will be a lot different for Cobolli. Coming off a Roland-Garros final, the 24-year-old is now a Top 10 player heading into the season’s next major. Will the extra eyes bring out another deep run from Cobolli at the Championships?

- Francesco

The National Bank Open Power Rankings are a group collaboration by the Power Rankings Panel which includes:

Pete Borkowski – Manager of Editorial and Player Coverage, Tennis Canada
Melissa Boyd – Content Writer, Tennis Canada
Sarah-Jade Champagne – Content Specialist, Tennis Canada
Jonathan Chan - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Julie Gravel - Marketing Director, Tennis Canada
Edward Lee – Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Hugues Leger – Producer, Podcast Sur La Ligne
Patrick Steski - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada
Francesco Tosini - Content Writer, Tennis Canada
Ravi Ubha - Content Contributor, Tennis Canada

2026 Wimbledon Predictions

Champion:

Pete: Jannik Sinner
Jonathan: Jannik Sinner
Julie: Jannik Sinner
Eddie: Jannik Sinner
Hugues: Jannik Sinner
Pat: Alexander Zverev
Francesco: Jannik Sinner
Ravi: Jannik Sinner

Dark Horse:

Pete: Jack Draper
Eddie: Learner Tien
Hugues: Giovanny Mpetshi Perricard
Pat: Learner Tien
Francesco: Daniel Altmaier

Bold Prediction:

Pete: Jannik Sinner only loses one set and it will be before quarter-finals.
Jonathan: Both Top 10 Americans lost before the third round.
Julie: Jack Draper turns a corner in his comeback and has success in the early rounds
Eddie: We will see a match that exceeds 6h, 36 minutes, making it the 2nd longest Wimbledon match in history.
Pat: Jannik Sinner has to rally from two sets down in week one
Francesco: Jannik Sinner wins Wimbledon without dropping a set
Ravi: Gabriel Diallo will eliminate a seed.

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Feature Photo : Martin Sidorjak